Department of Geography
King’s College London
Developing a risk-based and participatory approach to reducing the uncertainty in modelling climate impact on flood inundation
Dr Hannah Cloke
NERC/ESRC Interdisciplinary Studentship
The aim of this project is to develop a novel approach to dealing with uncertainty in flood inundation modelling for climate impact assessment that explicitly considers the consequences as well as the probability of extreme flood events. Combining state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation techniques, high resolution predictions of future flooding, existing socio-economic datasets and social scientific methods of stakeholder engagement, this project will attempt to explore and reduce the uncertainty in the flood inundation modelling component of the climate impact projections by:
exploring the sensitivity of flood inundation extent to the combined effects of uncertainties in climate predictions, flood model output and different ‘calibration’ and model assessment techniques
developing priority pixel risk-based calibration methods, integrating the consequences and probability of future inundation
engaging with stakeholders to identify consequences of particular concern and deliberate on the fitness for purpose of different risk-based calibration schemes both for current and climate impact assessment of flood risk.
Further information is available on Brandon's blog
Brandon graduated in 1992 with a BA in Natural Sciences from Cambridge University. After several years working in the IT industry, Brandon took the opportunity to take a break from fulll time work and started an MSc in Global Environmental Change at Kings in 2009. This has lead to Brandon commencing a PhD September 2010.