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Dr Tamsin Edwards

Edwards, Dr Tamsin

edwardsLecturer in Physical Geography



Office: Bush House North East Wing, Room 6.09

Tel: 020 7848 2525







I'm a climate scientist, specialising in testing and assessing uncertainties for climate models, especially for the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheet contributions to future sea level rise. I talk to the public about climate change in the media, on my blog and Twitter, and at public events.

Research interests
  • Predictions for ice sheets and sea level rise and the effect on coastal flooding
  • How to use information about recent and palaeoclimates to improve predictions of the future
  • Calibrating computationally expensive computer models
  • Emulation (statistical modelling of computer models: a.k.a. surrogate modelling, meta-modelling)
PhD supervision

Andreas Wernecke (2016 - )

Understanding uncertainty in the weak underbelly of Antarctica 



  • Climatic Variability, Change and Society
  • Global Environmental Issues: Science and Solutions


  • Modelling Environmental Change at the Land Surface
  • Global Environmental Change 2
  • Climate Change and Culture
Public and policymaker engagement

I talk to the public about climate change through a variety of channels. Some of my activities include:

I have advised institutions on science communication, including the Met Office, Royal Society, and the Association for Science and Discovery Centres. I have provided advice on science and science communication to the Government Office for Science (see Publications) and the Parliamentary Office for Science and Technology (advisor for several briefing papers for MPs), and the UK Climate Projections 2018. I am a contributing author of the IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate.


Edwards, T.L. (2017) Future of the sea: impacts of sea level rise on the UK, Government Office for Science, Foresight Future of the sea.

Goelzer, H., Nowicki, S., Edwards, T., Beckley, M., Abe-Ouchi, A., Aschwanden, A., Calov, R., Gagliardini, O., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J., Greve, R., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Kennedy, J. H., Larour, E., Lipscomb, W. H., Le clec´h, S., Lee, V., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Payne, A. J., Rodehacke, C., Rückamp, M., Saito, F., Schlegel, N., Seroussi, H., Shepherd, A., Sun, S., van de Wal, R., and Ziemen, F. A. (2017) Design and results of the ice sheet model initialisation experiments initMIP-Greenland: an ISMIP6 intercomparison, The Cryosphere Discuss.,, in review.

Renske C. de Winter, Thomas J. Reerink, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Hylke de Vries, Tamsin Edwards, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal (2017) Impact of asymmetric uncertainties in ice sheet dynamics on regional sea level projections, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2125-2141,

Aimée B. A. Slangen, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Thomas J. Reerink, Renske C. de Winter, John R. Hunter, Philip L. Woodworth and Tamsin Edwards (2017) The Impact of Uncertainties in Ice Sheet Dynamics on Sea-Level Allowances at Tide Gauge Locations, J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 5(2), 21.

Ritz*, C., T. Edwards*, G. Durand., A. Payne, V. Peyaud & R. Hindmarsh (2015) Potential sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet instability constrained by observations, Nature, 518, 115–118

[Equal contribution authors] Cornford, S., D. Martin, A. Payne, E. Ng, A. Brocq, R. Gladstone, T. Edwards, S. Shannon, C. Agosta, M. van den Broeke, H. Hellmer, G. Krinner, S. Ligtenberg, R. Timmermann & D. Vaughan (2015) Century-scale simulations of the response of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to a warming climate, The Cryosphere, 9, 1579–1600

Edwards, T.L., X. Fettweis, O. Gagliardini, F. Gillet-Chaulet, H. Goelzer, J. M. Gregory, M. Hoffman, P. Huybrechts, A. J. Payne, M. Perego, S. Price, A. Quiquet & C. Ritz (2014) Effect of uncertainty in surface mass balance elevation feedback on projections of the future sea level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet, The Cryosphere, 8, 195–208

Edwards, T. L., X. Fettweis, O. Gagliardini, F. Gillet-Chaulet, H. Goelzer, J. M. Gregory, M. Hoffman, P. Huybrechts, A. J. Payne, M. Perego, S. Price, A. Quiquet, and C. Ritz (2014) Probabilistic parameterisation of the surface mass balance–elevation feedback in regional climate model simulations of the Greenland ice sheet, The Cryosphere, 8, 181-194,

Hawkins, E., T. L. Edwards and D. McNeall (2014) Nature Climate Change 4, 154–156,

Howard, T., J. Ridley, A. K. Pardaens, R. T. W. L. Hurkmans, A. J. Payne, R. H. Giesen, J. A. Lowe, J. L. Bamber, T. L. Edwards, and J. Oerlemans (2014) The land-ice contribution to 21st-century dynamic sea level rise, Ocean Science, 10 (3), 485-500.

Faezeh M. Nick, A. Vieli, M. Langer Andersen, I. Joughin, A. Payne, T. L. Edwards, F. Pattyn and Roderik S. W. van de Wal (2013) Future sea-level rise from Greenland’s main outlet glaciers in a warming climate, Nature 497, 235–238. https://10.1038/nature12068


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