SINATRA: Susceptibility of catchments to INTense RAinfall and flooding
Flooding from Intense Rainfall (FFIR) has caused widespread disruption and damage right across Britain over recent years, but the processes governing its probability, incidence and impacts are poorly understood.
Supported by a £2.7million consortium grant from NERC’s Flooding from Intense Rainfall Programme, Project SINATRA aims to advance scientific understanding of the drivers, thresholds, and impacts of flooding from intense rainfall in Britain and to translate this small-scale process understanding into new open source model architectures and parameterisations to enable the development of decision-support tools, improving the capacity of forecasting agencies to deliver impacts-based warnings and predictions needed for managing Flooding From Intense Rainfall.
Led by project director, Hannah Cloke from Reading University, the SINATRA project assembles a multidisciplinary team of world-leading experts from Reading, Bristol, Newcastle, Hull, and Exeter Universities, as well as private sector partners Halcrow and JBA and a host of public sector research organizations including the Flood Forecasting Centre, Met Office, Environment Agency, and Health & Safety Laboratory.
The local lead at King’s is Professor David Demeritt and he is supported by:
Professor Bruce Malamud, SINATRA CoI
Dr Maria Escobar, SINATRA Postdoctoral fellow
Maria Vinogradova, tied PhD student
A full list of SINATRA project partners and researchers can be found here
King’s Contributions to SINATRA
Research at King’s is concentrating on two SINATRA subtasks (STs):
As part of ST1.1, we are working with digital newspapers and other administrative records to build a database of FFIR events and their impacts to provide the basis for some further analysis of return periods, frequency-size relationships, and impact assessment.
As part of ST3.1, we will be involved in intensive case study work to reconstruct the impacts of a number of key FFIR events, using a combination of in-depth interviews and documentary analysis. These case studies will be used to identify generalizable exposure and vulnerability parameters and to assign values relating these functions to impact. This will involve collaboration with colleagues from the Met Office, CEH, and Health & Safety laboratory who are working on building an operational hazard impact model for surface water flooding.
Further details on the data and methods involved in these and other SINATRA subtasks, can be found in the case for support