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Clinical intuition or mathematical models - which are better for prognosticating?

Numerous prognostic models and scoring systems have been developed for use in palliative care, but are any of them superior to clinical intuition? This lecture will review evidence regarding accuracy and usefulness of clinical predictions of survival. Paddy will present results from the Prognosis in Palliative Care Study II (PiPS2) study; including validation of PiPS; the Palliative Prognostic (PaP) score; the Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI); the Feliu Prognostic Nomogram; and the Palliative Performance Scale (PPS).

About the speaker

Paddy Stone is head of the Marie Curie Palliative Care research department at UCL and consultant in palliative medicine at UCLH. He was Chief Investigator on the national Prognosis in Palliative care Study II. He is also Chief Investigator for the Methylphenidate versus placebo for fatigue in advanced cancer trial, a multi-centre placebo-controlled RCT. 

About the seminar series 

The Cicely Saunders Institute Open Seminar Series events are free to attend.

This seminar is worth CPD (1 credit) pending from the Royal College of Physicians.

The series aim is to optimise opportunities for local, national and international networking within palliative care and rehabilitation. We facilitate seminars to assist in improving practice, education and policy, and the integration of research and clinical endeavours.