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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine shattered a litany of norms and expectations, particularly surrounding the use and role of military force in the contemporary world.

This panel will grapple with a few of the core questions provoked by this era-defining event. The macro question of the impact of the invasion on Russian-NATO relations is perhaps the core grand strategic concern. Linked to this are assessments of Russia’s domestic political situation as elites struggle with sanctions and how to pass off a hugely costly invasion without obvious ‘wins’. On a methodological note, although the invasion is not the first conflict to receive dense coverage via social media, the wealth of open-source intelligence (OSINT) being mined and published is unprecedented. Yet the implications of this remain unclear and need exploring.

About the panel

  • Chair: Dr David Roberts, Associate Professor, Defence Studies Department 

  • The macro situation: Russia, NATO, and (in)Stability - Professor Tracey German, Professor in Conflict and Security, King’s College London

  • Putin’s War: Success, failure, and Russia’s elite - Sophia Rigby, PhD Candidate, Defence Studies Department.

  • Analysing the conflict: The scorecard for Defence Analysts and the role of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) - Rob Lee, PhD Candidate, Department of War Studies.