Nawaf Obaid is a political scientist specializing in intelligence, security studies, the history of war, defence doctrines, and nuclear posturing. He is the Founder & Managing Director of Project AURORAH GeoSignal MASINT System.

From 2004 to 2007, he served as Special Advisor for Strategic Communications to Prince Turki Al Faisal during Prince Turki’s tenure as Saudi Ambassador to the United Kingdom and Ireland, and later to the United States. From 2007 to 2011, he worked as a Special Advisor within the Presidency of Citizens Affairs at the Saudi Royal Court, where he was seconded as Special Advisor to the Saudi Minister of Media from 2010 to 2011. He later served as Counselor to Prince Mohammed bin Nawaf, Saudi Ambassador to the United Kingdom, from 2011 to 2016.

Dr. Obaid was the Inaugural Visiting Fellow for Intelligence and Defence Projects at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs from 2017 to 2018, having previously served there as a Visiting Fellow from 2012 to 2017. He has also been a Research Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP), an Adjunct Fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), and a Senior Fellow at the King Faisal Center for Research and Islamic Studies.

Qualifications

• BS, International Relations; Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University, 1994–1996.
• MPP, International Security & Political Economy; John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, 1996–1998.
• PhD, Political Science (Security Studies); Department of Political Science at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2000–2001 (coursework completed).
• MA, War Studies; Department of War Studies at King's College London, 2010–2011.
• PhD, War Studies; Department of War Studies at King’s College London, 2011-2013.

Research Interests

• Intelligence and Security Studies
• Nuclear Weapons History and Doctrine
• Cold War History
• Middle East Studies
• French Defence & Nuclear Doctrine
• Saudi Arabian Defence Doctrine
• Russian Defence & Nuclear Doctrine
• Swiss Security & Defence Doctrine
• Arab and Muslim World History

Publications

Books

• Saudi Arabia’s Quiet Victory in South Yemen: How Riyadh Reclaimed the Battlespace through C5ISR/C6ISR Dominance (Helion & Company, 2027)
• Before the First Strike: How fused GEOINT, SIGINT, MASINT, and strategic operational sequencing were integrated into real-time intelligence estimates that anticipated the trajectory of the Iran War and the emergence of the modern battlespace (Helion & Company, November 2026)
• The Case Against Assad (publication delayed following developments in Syria).
• The Failure of the Muslim Brotherhood in the Arab World (Praeger Security International, 2020)
• National Security in Saudi Arabia: Threats, Responses and Challenges (Praeger Security International, 2005)
• Oil Kingdom at 100: Petroleum Policy Making in Saudi Arabia (WINEP, 2000)

Academic Papers

• Murder by Chain of Command: The Case Against Assad. New America, October 2023.
• The Muslim Brotherhood: A Failure in Political Evolution. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School. July 2017.
• A Saudi Arabian Defense Doctrine. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School. May 2014.
• The Long Hot Arab Summer: On the Viability of the Nation State System in the Arab World.Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School. March 2013.
• Saudi Arabia’s Strategic Energy Initiative: Safeguarding Against Supply Disruptions.Center for Strategic and International Studies. November 2006.
• Meeting the Challenge of Fragmented Iraq: A Saudi Perspective. Center for Strategic and International Studies. April 2006.
• Saudi Arabia’s Sustainable Capacity and Security Issues Center for Strategic and International Studies. September 2005.
• Saudi Militants in Iraq: Assessment and Kingdom’s Response Center for Strategic and International Studies. September 2005.
• Saudi Counterterrorism Efforts Center for Strategic and International Studies. February 2005.
• Saudi Internal Security: A Risk Assessment. Center for Strategic and International Studies. June 2004.
• Saudi Military Forces and Development Center for Strategic and International Studies. May 2004.

OpEds and Academic Articles

Dr Obaid has over one hundred and fifty OpEds and academic articles that have been published in the main American, British, French and Arab newspapers, magazines and academic journals. A select sample can be found on Wikipedia.

PhD Supervision

Dr. Obaid currently accepts doctoral students interested in:

1. Saudi and Gulf security and energy issues
2. Fused intelligence architectures, including C5ISR, C6ISR, and C7ISR modelling
3. OPEC, OPEC+, and the geopolitics of energy
4. Armed forces procurement strategies
5. Military nuclear programmes, with particular emphasis on French and Pakistani doctrines
6. Contemporary intelligence and security issues