Dr Ahmad Al Khleifat, Senior Research Fellow
Modern civilisation has mistaken convenience for permanence. We have confused technological complexity with stability, and digital abundance with durability. This confusion has left us blind to a basic fact: most of what we rely on exists only under exceptionally fragile conditions.
If we strip away our reassuring narratives, the pattern is unmistakable: civilisations collapse, populations endure, and the only knowledge that survives the transition is the kind embedded in culture, not the kind stored in institutions.
This matters more now than at any time in recent memory.
We have built a society that treats knowledge as if it were indefinitely preserved by technological momentum, as if the continuity of servers, grids, supply chains, and specialised institutions were guaranteed. It is not. History gives us no reason to believe these structures are stable.
This exposes a basic truth we systematically avoid:
Knowledge must be lived, not stored.
Embedded in culture, not trapped in servers.
Woven into philosophy, art, story, and daily rhythms.
We assume that scientific and technical expertise will persist simply because we need it. But high-end knowledge production depends on a tiny fraction of the population, supported by complex institutional and economic conditions. When those conditions fail, the expertise evaporates almost immediately. What remains is whatever has been internalised by the broader population.
Human intelligence is widely distributed; specialised knowledge is not.
That asymmetry shapes what survives.
What we dismiss as “soft”, myth, story, ritual, the humanities, outlasts what we call “advanced” because it does not rely on infrastructure. These domains encode patterns of reasoning, moral frameworks, cosmologies, models of causality. They do not preserve technical detail, but they preserve the cognitive scaffolding through which it becomes possible to recover detail later.
Humanities are how civilisations remember themselves.
Science is how civilisations understand the world.
Only together do civilisations survive.
Ancient societies recognised the fragility of external memory. Instead of relying solely on texts or monuments, they embedded knowledge directly into behaviour and identity. What we call myth is often a compressed survival algorithm; what we call ritual is a method of transmission robust to illiteracy and collapse.
Before we had stone tablets, knowledge lived in behaviour.
Before we had artificial intelligence, it lived in stories.
Before we had digital storage, it lived in identity.
Different civilisations converged on this structure not by coincidence but by necessity.
Culture acts as a distributed system of encoded information, partly noise, partly signal, partly fossilised insight, preserved even when its original justification is forgotten.
This is where the contemporary moment reveals its own blind spot. Our dependence on digital storage and complex machines creates the illusion of permanence precisely where fragility is greatest. A society that externalises all memory prepares itself, unintentionally, for forgetting.
A civilisation lasting 10,000 years cannot depend on GPUs, grids, rare metals, or global supply chains.
AI, in its current form, cannot survive deep time.
The underlying concepts, learning, abstraction, pattern-recognition, can, but only if they become cultural rather than mechanical.
The lesson is not nostalgic. It is structural:
Knowledge that lasts must be stronger than the systems that hold it.
It must live in materials, in stories, and in people.
If we fail to embed essential knowledge in the population itself, not only in institutions, we will follow the same historical cycle we claim to have transcended: invention, flourishing, collapse, forgetting, and reconstruction.
And the most revealing part is this: the danger is not collapse itself.
The real danger is our current confidence that collapse cannot happen,
a confidence that has never been justified by history.